Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.