Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire may have exited the US Open cup with a whimper, but with Klopas sure to ring the changes, a 10th unbeaten home game in a row in MLS could be on the cards, especially given the Crew's miserable record on the road.
The visitors are still a force to be reckoned with in the final third, albeit while struggling for clean sheets at the other end of the field, and we can envisage a back-and-forth contest ending all square.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.16% . A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%) . The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood .
Result Chicago Fire Draw Columbus Crew 48.16% ( 0.14) 24.2% ( -0.12) 27.64% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.39)
54.68% ( 0.53) 45.32% ( -0.53)
32.34% ( 0.5) 67.66% ( -0.5)
81.08% ( 0.26) 18.92% ( -0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.58% ( 0.44) 50.42% ( -0.44)
70% ( 0.26) 30% ( -0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.88% ( 0.31) 66.12% ( -0.31)
Chicago Fire 48.16%
Columbus Crew 27.64%
Draw 24.19%
Chicago Fire Draw Columbus Crew 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.16% 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.64%
How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Draw
Columbus Crew
12
rhs 2.0
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