Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.