We said: Sporting Kansas City 0-1 Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City have improved massively since their very poor start to the season, but they have started to return to the mean a little in recent weeks, picking up just one win in their last five games.
With Real Salt Lake in excellent form, having won five of their last seven league games, we expect them to emerge as narrow victors, continuing their upward trajectory in the league table.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.