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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Houston Dynamo

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
46.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.86% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 46.2%
    Houston Dynamo 29.11%
    Draw 24.69%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Kansas
Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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