Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.