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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
St Louis City

Houston
0 - 0
St Louis City


Jackson (85')
FT

Schmitt (74'), Ostrak (74'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 St Louis City

 While they have improved in many areas of the field, St Louis still allow their share of scoring opportunities, and that could benefit the Dynamo on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
67.45% (-0.404 -0.4) 18.76% (0.159 0.16) 13.78% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (-0.169 -0.17)40.01% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.174 -0.17)62.37% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.151 -0.15)10.92% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.334 -0.33)35.11% (0.333 0.33)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (0.252 0.25)41.04% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.223 0.22)77.59% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 67.45%
    St Louis City 13.78%
    Draw 18.76%
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.78%

How you voted: Houston vs St Louis City

Houston Dynamo
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
St Louis City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 3.30am
First Round 2nd Leg
Houston
1-0
St Louis City
Sviatchenko (60')
Escobar (90+3')

Nerwinski (42'), Wentzel (90')
Feb 21, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
St Louis City
2-1
Houston
Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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