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Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Columbus Crew

Montreal
1 - 3
Columbus Crew

Choiniere (45+2' pen.)
Choiniere (35'), Lassiter (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arfsten (19'), Rossi (59'), Hinestroza (89')
Camacho (41'), Schulte (45+1'), Yeboah (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 12 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew

Something tells us that Montreal will be extra motivated for this match, not just because of their collapse last weekend, but also to give their current manager an ego boost against their former boss. That said, the Crew have tremendous resilience and have fared well in intimidating environments all season, which is why we project they will nab a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
35.65% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.64% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)55.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.012 -0.01)19.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 35.65%
    Columbus Crew 40.65%
    Draw 23.7%
CF MontrealDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.65%

How you voted: Montreal vs Columbus Crew

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Columbus Crew
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Opoku (52'), Vilsaint (68')
Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4')
Corbo (14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 43', 65')
Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86')
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Texans
19-27
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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