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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Montreal Impact

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Montreal

Camilo Hernandez (17'), Nagbe (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sunusi (7')
Piette (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 4-1 Portland
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 CF Montreal

 Knowing that a win is likely what they need on Decision Day, we expect the desperation level for Le CFM to ramp up the longer this match remains tied, and that should play right into the hands of the Crew, who are deadly on the counter and can hurt you in a variety of ways.

How to watch

You can watch Columbus Crew vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawCF Montreal
70.64% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 17.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 12% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (0.056000000000004 0.06)37.82% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (0.060000000000002 0.06)60.07% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (0.036999999999992 0.04)9.54% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.05% (0.084999999999994 0.08)31.95% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)78.76% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 70.64%
    CF Montreal 12%
    Draw 17.36%
Columbus CrewDrawCF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.74% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.14% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 70.64%
1-1 @ 8.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.36%
1-2 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Montreal

Columbus Crew
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
CF Montreal
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-4
Columbus Crew
Opoku (52'), Vilsaint (68')
Jabang (18'), Miljevic (90+4')
Corbo (14' og.), Camilo Hernandez (22', 43', 65')
Yeboah (29'), Amundsen (46'), Schulte (86')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
2-2
Columbus Crew
Mensah (66')
> Preview
Aug 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Montreal
Diaz Espinoza (47')
Waterman (30')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Columbus Crew
2-1
Montreal
Zardes (44', 62')
Williams (39'), Etienne (56')
Quioto (90+2')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Montreal
0-0
Columbus Crew
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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