Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.