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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Philadelphia Union

Toronto
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Insigne (23'), Kerr (58'), Osorio (63')
Ibarra (76'), Romero (87'), Insigne (90+3'), Vazquez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carranza (45')
Glesnes (90+1'), Andres Martinez (90+5'), Wagner (90+9')
Bueno (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-3 Philadelphia Union

 While Toronto have put together some solid performances at home to the Union, there does not appear to be a lot of harmony within this group - which has been evident by their results - and it will take more than the presence of John Herdman to steer this club back on course. This is the time of year where the Union seem to bring it all together, and given their current form and the race for second in the East being so close, we expect to see them put forth another inspiring performance in midweek.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
33.56% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43%28.58% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.37% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)24.64% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 33.56%
    Philadelphia Union 40.44%
    Draw 25.99%
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.56%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.44%

How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia

Toronto
6.7%
Draw
13.3%
Philadelphia Union
80.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-2
Toronto
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Carranza (34')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Mavinga (57')
Andres Martinez (87')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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