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Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

Andres Martinez (23'), Donovan (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jasson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New York City FC

 While the Union have been rather inconsistent since the beginning of June, we believe they will sort things out and find their form like we have seen them do many times in the past. Bakrar should help New York in front of the goal when he arrives, but they will need more than one new face to turn around their road woes this season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
66.29% (0.557 0.56) 20.5% (-0.278 -0.28) 13.21% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.528 0.53)48.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.475 0.48)71.03% (-0.479 -0.48)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.337 0.34)13.91% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (0.662 0.66)41.34% (-0.665 -0.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (-0.116 -0.12)47.51% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (-0.09 -0.09)82.87% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 66.27%
    New York City FC 13.21%
    Draw 20.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.27%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
NY City
Carranza (65'), Gazdag (67'), Burke (76')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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