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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City

Atlanta
2 - 2
NY City

Wolff (11'), Firmino (90+5')
Cobb (22'), Gutman (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (1', 56')
Cufre (70'), Pellegrini (81'), Rodriguez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 3-1 DC United
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 New York City FC

 Morale is at an all-time low in New York City right now, and though there are some talented playmakers on that team, no one has stepped up and shown they can bury a clear-cut scoring opportunity. Atlanta may be a little susceptible defensively, but they have had no trouble finding the back of the net with 11 players notching at least one MLS goal in 2023, and taking on a team as fragile as NYCFC this week, we expect them to pounce on the opportunities presented to them.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
55.99% (1.816 1.82) 22.49% (-0.48 -0.48) 21.52% (-1.337 -1.34)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41% (0.561 0.56)43.59% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.02% (0.54799999999999 0.55)65.98% (-0.547 -0.55)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (0.81699999999999 0.82)15.41% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (1.508 1.51)44.23% (-1.509 -1.51)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-0.92 -0.92)34.18% (0.91999999999999 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-0.997 -1)70.87% (0.997 1)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.99%
    New York City FC 21.52%
    Draw 22.49%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.333 0.33)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United
77.3%
Draw
9.1%
New York City FC
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Atlanta
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Atlanta
1-2
NY City
Gutman (67')
Pereira (9'), Heber (60')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2022 10pm
NY City
2-2
Atlanta
Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 40
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Thorarinsson (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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