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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union

NY City
1 - 3
Philadelphia

Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Union appear to be hitting their stride, while New York are trying to get their groove back, and although the home side have more individual quality to boast, continuity can often be a determining factor, something the Union have in abundance.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.83% (-0.137 -0.14) 24.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.84% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.86% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.108 -0.11)50.32% (0.102 0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)35.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)71.75% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.82%
    Philadelphia Union 23.84%
    Draw 24.32%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
NY City
1-1
Philadelphia
Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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