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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 0
Philadelphia

Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Philadelphia Union

 Atlanta United will be looking to restore some pride this weekend following their humbling defeat against the Red Bulls. However, they face a Philadelphia Union side who have enjoyed the better of this fixture over the last two years. While home advantage makes the Pineda's men slight favourites, we predict that the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
48.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.86%28.03% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 58.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)65.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.28%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.8% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.65% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.11%
    Philadelphia Union 28.03%
    Draw 23.85%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
32.1%
Draw
32.1%
Philadelphia Union
35.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Philadelphia
1-0
Atlanta
Przybylko (71')
Andres Martinez (39')

Moreno (31')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
Gameweek 23
Atlanta
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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