Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.
