Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.