Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.