Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.