Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.