Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.