Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
