Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.