We said: New York City FC 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sometimes all it takes is one moment of brilliance for your fortunes to turn around, and that might be the case for NYCFC, who have been close to winning numerous times this season and finally got over the line last weekend thanks to a breathtaking goal from Pellegrini.
On the other side, Charlotte do not have a lot of momentum heading into this encounter, and despite their previous track record against New York, we expect their 11-day hiatus from their last match to this one could be more of a hindrance than anything.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.