Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.