Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.