Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Toronto
It is no secret that the Reds have been poor defensively throughout the campaign, and that has been especially evident away from home, where they have conceded multiple goals on 11 occasions this year. The Union are not as bad on the back end as their previous match might indicate, and we anticipate them to be a lot stingier on Sunday, while Curtin has numerous scoring options who are capable of finding the back of the net at any moment. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
61.51% ( 0.05) | 20.1% ( -0.02) | 18.38% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
