Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.