Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.