Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
