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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Toronto FC

Cincinnati
3 - 0
Toronto

Arias (35'), Acosta (54'), Badji (63')
Nwobodo (19'), Gaddis (41'), Halsey (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Petretta (25'), Bernardeschi (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto

 The Reds are still figuring out how to win tight matches, something the Orange and Blue have perfected, and the overall depth and form of Cincy should enable them to maintain its 100% record on home soil.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
63.46% (-0.134 -0.13) 21.32% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 15.21% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)48.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)70.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)14.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)42.64% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.84% (0.12 0.12)44.16% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.74% (0.096 0.1)80.25% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 63.45%
    Toronto 15.21%
    Draw 21.32%
FC CincinnatiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Toronto

FC Cincinnati
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Toronto
0.0%
20
Head to Head
May 5, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Toronto
1-2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Gameweek 36
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')

Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 30
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')
Morrow (37')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Gameweek 13
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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