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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
BMO Field
FC Cincinnati

Toronto
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 FC Cincinnati

 These teams have played in some crazy back and forth games this month, and while we do not expect as much unpredictability in this encounter, we believe that Toronto will come out on top. The Reds have reacted well this season when faced with adversity, and that resilience could be the difference in this one, even if Vazquez is cleared to play for Cincy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
54.32%23.81%21.87%
Both teams to score 51.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15%48.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05%70.94%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4%73.59%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 54.31%
    FC Cincinnati 21.87%
    Draw 23.81%
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.58%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.87%

How you voted: Toronto vs Cincinnati

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
FC Cincinnati
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Brenner (39'), Medunjanin (58')
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')

Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati

Bradley (33')
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Kubo (38'), Matarrita (62'), Cruz (78')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Toronto

Gutman (66'), Hagglund (67')
Mullins (29')
Gonzalez (9'), Osorio (21'), Ciman (72')
May 16, 2020 10.30pm
Toronto
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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