Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.