We said: Dallas 2-1 Toronto
It takes time to bring a new-look team together, and that will be the case for both of these sides when they hit the field in Texas this weekend.
Toronto may be improved on paper, although Insigne is not slated to arrive until later this summer, and it remains unclear whether they are sharper defensively, so expect to see them struggle when it comes to containing the speed and aggressiveness that The Toros bring to the table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.