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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Duran (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

 Both of these teams are enjoying vastly different seasons right now, and because of that they should be heading into the match with opposing levels of confidence. Chicago Fire could end up at the foot of the table with a defeat, and the visitors should be able to secure a routine win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
55.9%24.04%20.06%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37%73.62%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58%18.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42%49.57%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62%40.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23%76.99%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 55.89%
    FC Cincinnati 20.06%
    Draw 24.04%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.06%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
0-1
Cincinnati
Barreal (50')
Barreal (79'), Vazquez (84')
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Chicago Fire

Deplagne (90+6')

Bornstein (90+7')
Aug 26, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
3-0
Cincinnati
Herbers (2'), Medran (10'), Aliseda (67')
Medran (61')

Pettersson (36'), Amaya (63')
Jul 26, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
Chicago Fire
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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