Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FC | 13 | 16 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 14 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | -9 | 13 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
76.32% ( -0.06) | 14.65% ( 0.04) | 9.02% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.41% ( -0.17) | 33.58% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.6% ( -0.19) | 55.39% ( 0.18) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.73% ( -0.06) | 7.26% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.68% ( -0.13) | 26.31% ( 0.12) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.98% ( -0.1) | 45.01% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.05% ( -0.08) | 80.94% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.32% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.65% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |