Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.