Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17
Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Montreal5 - 4Cincinnati
Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 50.98% | 25.43% | 23.59% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
