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Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 22, 2021 at 6pm UK
Saputo Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Montreal
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Mihailovic (56')
Mihailovic (35'), Brault-Guillard (43'), Quioto (54'), Wanyama (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locadia (70'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (86')

Preview: CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still on the hunt for their first win of the Major League Soccer campaign, FC Cincinnati make the trip to take on CF Montreal on Saturday.

A run of three defeats and a draw from their opening four games has seen Jaap Stam's side drop to the foot of the Eastern Conference, while their hosts sit in fifth spot with eight points from their first six league outings.


Match preview

FC Cincinnati head coach Jaap Stam during the second half against the Atlanta United FC at ESPN Wide World of Sports in July 2020© Reuters

CF Montreal were unlucky to fall to their second defeat of the season last Sunday, as they travelled to take on Atlanta United.

The game looked set to end goalless until Marcelino Moreno netted the winner for the hosts in the 94th minute to send Wilfred Nancy's side home empty-handed.

Before that, the Canadian outfit picked up a 2-0 away victory over Inter Miami, as Bjorn Johnsen netted a brace inside the first 25 minutes to seal all three points.

After narrowly missing out on making the playoffs last year, with Carles Gil firing New England Revolution to a 2-1 win in the 95th minute in the play-in round, Montreal will be hopeful of going one better this year and sealing their automatic qualification with a strong top-seven finish.

With just two points separating the sides between second and seventh spot, Nancy's side have a great chance to quickly cement themselves at the top end of the table with another win on Saturday, as the division begins to take shape.

They take on a Cincinnati side who are yet to win an MLS game this campaign, sitting at the bottom of the Eastern Conference as a result.

Jaap Stam's men looked set to pick up a victory on the first day of the season as they led 2-0 away at Nashville SC thanks to goals from Luciano Acosta and Brenner, but a Jhonder Cadiz goal and a Randall Leal equaliser on the hour mark forced them to share the points.

Since that disappointing opening draw, the Ohio side have lost three consecutive MLS matches, firstly suffering a 5-0 defeat at home to New York City FC, as Jesus Medina netted a brace alongside a Nick Hagglund own goal and goals from Gudmundur Thorarinsson and Valentin Castellanos.

They were again comfortably beaten in the following match away at Orlando City, as Tesho Akindele scored inside the first minute before Nani and Junior Urso found the net to seal a dominant 3-0 win for the hosts.

However, Stam's men may feel slightly unfortunate to have come away from Sunday's game at home to Inter Miami empty-handed, given their late comeback.

The visitors led 2-0 through Brek Shea and Gonzalo Higuain, but Alvaro Barreal found the net on the hour mark and Nick Hagglund levelled the game in the 82nd minute, before Higuain netted his second of the game just three minutes later to restore Inter Miami's lead and take all three points.

With just one point from their first four matches, The Orange and Blue will know that they need to quickly improve their results if they are to climb up the division and avoid a third consecutive finish at the foot of their conference.

CF Montreal Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

After scoring in both of their opening two matches, Montreal forward Mason Toye has been out with a hamstring injury, and he should continue his spell on the sidelines on Saturday.

He will be joined by Ballou Tabla, who is yet to feature this season due to injury.

They will also remain without defenders Luis Binks and Zachary Braut-Guillard, with Aljaz Struna, Rudy Camacho and Kamal Miller expected to form the back three again on Saturday.

Experienced midfielder Victor Wanyama will offer plenty of experience and quality in front of the back line, allowing Djordje Mihailovic to support the attack.

Nick Hagglund and Luciano Acosta have both recently become doubtful for Saturday's game for Cincinnati through injury concerns, but the important pair should start after netting their goals against Inter Miami last time out.

Defender Tom Pettersson will remain out with an Achilles issue, while Franko Kovacevic and Maikel Van der Werff will also continue spells on the sidelines.

Brenner should lead their line again, as he looks to break a three-game goalless run, having failed to score since his penalty on the opening day of the season.

CF Montreal possible starting lineup:
Diop; Struna, Camacho, Miller; Choiniere, Wanyama, Piette, Lappalainen; Mihailovic; Johnsen, Quioto

FC Cincinnati possible starting lineup:
Vermeer; Gyau, Cameron, Hagglund, Matarrita; Locadia, Cruz, Kubo, Barreal; Acosta; Brenner


SM words green background

We say: CF Montreal 2-0 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati have continued to look poor this campaign after two disappointing seasons back-to-back, and we cannot see anything other than fourth straight defeat for Stam's men on Saturday.

While they have had an inconsistent start of their own, Montreal should have more than enough to get past the basement side on home turf.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Montreal vs Cincinnati

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
30.0%
10
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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