We said: Columbus Crew 3-1 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire are in for another tough 90 minutes on Thursday as they journey to Lower.com Field, where they have failed to win their last 13 league visits since a 2-1 victory in June 2013. Nancy's side have been near impenetrable at home since the turn of the year and we see them edging out the Men in Red once again.
How to watch
You can watch Columbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.