We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 FC Cincinnati
While the visitors have been the best team in the league this season, they are not as dominant on their travels as they are back home. The Crew, on the other hand, have one of the best home records in the league this season, and we fancy them to take a share of the spoils in this one.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.