Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.