Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Columbus Crew
Despite starting favourites to take three points home from Miami, Columbus Crew have won just two from nine on the road so far in 2023 - conceding plenty of goals in the process. So, after a spirited performance helped Inter pick up a point at the weekend, they can defy expectation and repeat that feat on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.47% . A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7%) . The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Inter Miami Draw Columbus Crew 31.75% ( 0.59) 24.78% ( 0.09) 43.47% ( -0.68)
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.02)
54.26% ( -0.15) 45.74% ( 0.15)
31.94% ( -0.14) 68.05% ( 0.14)
72.6% ( 0.31) 27.39% ( -0.31)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.13% ( 0.4) 62.86% ( -0.4)
78.91% ( -0.37) 21.09% ( 0.37)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.08% ( -0.58) 53.92% ( 0.57)
Inter Miami 31.75%
Columbus Crew 43.47%
Draw 24.78%
Inter Miami Draw Columbus Crew 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.75% 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.47%
How you voted: Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
Draw
Columbus Crew
38
rhs 2.0
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