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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Chicago Fire

DC United
4 - 0
Chicago Fire

Benteke (9', 90+1'), Ku-Dipietro (20'), Teran (41' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Navarro (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 Vancouver
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-0 Chicago Fire

 Goals have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we can see Sunday's contest turning out to be a low-scoring one. We also back the home side to scrape a narrow win come the end of the 90 minutes.

How to watch

You can watch DC United vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawChicago Fire
52.91% (0.497 0.5) 23.22% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 23.87% (-0.436 -0.44)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.15 -0.15)44.17% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.146 -0.15)66.55% (0.143 0.14)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.124 0.12)16.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.45% (0.222 0.22)46.55% (-0.224 -0.22)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)32.38% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.509 -0.51)68.9% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    DC United 52.91%
    Chicago Fire 23.87%
    Draw 23.21%
DC UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 23.87%

How you voted: DC United vs Chicago Fire

DC United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-0
DC United
> Preview
Jun 19, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
DC United
Navarro (30'), Herbers (87')
Pines (33'), Najar (72')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-2
Chicago Fire

Najar (21'), Skundrich (45'), Hines-Ike (65')
Ivanov (32'), Bornstein (80')
Gimenez (45'), Sekulic (48'), Navarro (86')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 31
DC United
3-0
Chicago Fire
Pines (12'), Gressel (53')
Teran Diaz (7'), Herbers (11')
> Preview
Jul 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Chicago Fire
2-2
DC United
Gimenez (32'), Najar (61' og.)
Gimenez (62'), Medran (65')
Paredes (82'), Kamara (87' pen.)
Najar (55'), Skundrich (84')
> Preview
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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