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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Nashville

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Nashville

Herbers (34')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leal (37'), Lovitz (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 DC United
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Nashville SC

 Nashville may proudly boast the stingiest rearguard in the 2023 MLS season, but keeping the back door shut away from home has not been their forte in recent weeks, and nor has taking three points home from rival territory. Zimmerman's absence will do the visitors no favours either, but Nashville are yet to suffer defeat to the out-of-sorts Chicago Fire, who would likely accept another home stalemate against the Boys in Gold but may lack the firepower to attain such a result.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
40.57% (0.07 0.07) 27.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 31.73% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.014000000000003 0.01)57.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (0.012 0.01)78.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.045999999999992 0.05)27.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.058 0.06)63.49% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)33.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.038 -0.04)70.06% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 40.57%
    Nashville SC 31.73%
    Draw 27.7%
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.57%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Nashville

Chicago Fire
24.2%
Draw
36.4%
Nashville SC
39.4%
33
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
0-0
Nashville
Pineda (50')
Anunga (56')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Nashville
5-1
Chicago Fire
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Nashville
1-1
Chicago Fire
Rios (28')
McCarty (90')
Sekulic (42')
Jul 9, 2020 3.30am
Nashville
P-P
Chicago Fire
rhs 2.0
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