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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
St Louis City

Nashville
3 - 1
St Louis City

Williams (11', 70' pen., 75')
Bauer (37'), McCarty (45+1'), Washington (83'), Zubak (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gioacchini (41')
Vassilev (33'), Hiebert (54')
Hiebert (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 11 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 St Louis City

Momentum is a funny thing, and when you have it, that can sometimes propel you to victory in matches where you do not deserve it. The tight defensive set-up of Nashville and a lack of creativity from St Louis away from home have us leaning towards the home team to claim all three points this Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
68.37% (-0.31 -0.31) 18.54% (0.07 0.07) 13.09% (0.245 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.276 0.28)40.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (0.283 0.28)63.03% (-0.28 -0.28)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51% (0.552 0.55)42.49% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.47 0.47)78.86% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 68.36%
    St Louis City 13.09%
    Draw 18.54%
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.09%

How you voted: Nashville vs St Louis City

Nashville SC
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
St Louis City
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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