We said: Nashville SC 2-0 St Louis City
Momentum is a funny thing, and when you have it, that can sometimes propel you to victory in matches where you do not deserve it.
The tight defensive set-up of Nashville and a lack of creativity from St Louis away from home have us leaning towards the home team to claim all three points this Saturday.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.