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Major League Soccer
Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
St Louis City

Nashville
3 - 1
St Louis City

Williams (11', 70' pen., 75')
Bauer (37'), McCarty (45+1'), Washington (83'), Zubak (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gioacchini (41')
Vassilev (33'), Hiebert (54')
Hiebert (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 11 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 St Louis City

 Momentum is a funny thing, and when you have it, that can sometimes propel you to victory in matches where you do not deserve it. The tight defensive set-up of Nashville and a lack of creativity from St Louis away from home have us leaning towards the home team to claim all three points this Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
68.37% (-0.31 -0.31) 18.54% (0.07 0.07) 13.09% (0.245 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.276 0.28)40.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (0.283 0.28)63.03% (-0.28 -0.28)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51% (0.552 0.55)42.49% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.47 0.47)78.86% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 68.36%
    St Louis City 13.09%
    Draw 18.54%
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.09%

How you voted: Nashville vs St Louis City

Nashville SC
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
St Louis City
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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