Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.