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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Columbus Crew

Atlanta
1 - 1
Columbus Crew

Robinson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-2 Atlanta
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Columbus Crew

Atlanta United and Columbus Crew have enjoyed a solid campaign and will be looking to build up some momentum ahead of the playoffs. The Crew are unbeaten in their last three games against Atlanta, picking up two wins and one draw, and given their current form, we fancy them holding out for a point in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
53.24% (-0.553 -0.55) 21.5% (0.058 0.06) 25.26% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.3% (0.224 0.22)34.7% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.34% (0.25 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)13.24% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.184 -0.18)40.02% (0.186 0.19)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.486 0.49)26.16% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (0.646 0.65)61.24% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 53.24%
    Columbus Crew 25.26%
    Draw 21.5%
Atlanta UnitedDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.24%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Columbus Crew

Atlanta United
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Columbus Crew
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
6-1
Atlanta
Morris (14'), Ramirez (47', 64'), Quinton (51'), Russell-Rowe (68'), Arfsten (90+1')
Lennon (71')
Aug 21, 2022 11.48pm
Columbus Crew
2-2
Atlanta
Camilo Hernandez (66', 72')
Artur (31'), Etienne (51'), Mensah (82')
Sosa (21'), Sanchez (77')
Sosa (69'), Mosquera (80')
May 29, 2022 12am
Atlanta
1-2
Columbus Crew
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')
Sands (61')
Aug 8, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Columbus Crew
2-3
Atlanta
Mensah (37'), Santos (90+1' pen.)
Room (90+7')
Barco (5', 35'), Moreno (65' pen.)
Sosa (45+3'), Walkes (66')
Jul 24, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atlanta
0-1
Columbus Crew
Mensah (65')
Hurtado (44'), Francis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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