Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.