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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Columbus Crew

Toronto
1 - 2
Columbus Crew

Jimenez (54')
Thompson (37'), Osorio (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zawadzki (18'), Nagbe (30')
Russell-Rowe (66'), Igbekeme (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

Last Six:
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 26 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Columbus Crew

 Both teams have lacked consistency so far this season but they will each view Thursday's fixture as a good opportunity to claim maximum points and begin a strong run of form. However, with little to separate these two evenly-matches sides, a score draw could be on the cards at BMO Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
37.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.47% (-0.183 -0.18) 37.5% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 56.09% (0.64 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.82 0.82)47.81% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (0.75 0.75)69.99% (-0.75 -0.75)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.384 0.38)25.24% (-0.385 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.527 0.53)59.99% (-0.527 -0.53)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.47199999999999 0.47)24.98% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.652 0.65)59.62% (-0.652 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 37.02%
    Columbus Crew 37.5%
    Draw 25.47%
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.5%

How you voted: Toronto vs Columbus Crew

Toronto
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Columbus Crew
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Zelarayan (56'), Etienne (65')
Mensah (29'), Diaz Espinoza (82'), Artur (84')
Jimenez (14')
Nelson (64'), Priso-Mbongue (79')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Diaz Espinoza (12'), Zardes (22')
Akinola (52')
May 13, 2021 12am
Toronto
2-0
Columbus Crew
Bradley (13'), Altidore (87')
Delgado (46'), Bono (54'), Altidore (90+3')

Keita (89'), Mensah (90+2')
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
3-1
Columbus Crew
Altidore (48'), Pozuelo (59'), Laryea (76')
Altidore (28'), Delgado (86')
Mavinga (40' og.)
Zelarayan (60'), Morris (67')
Aug 9, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
P-P
Columbus Crew
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
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5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
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9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
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