MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 03:07:31| >> :600:4988447:4988447:
Olympiacos
Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Aston Villa logo

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
61.41% (0.256 0.26) 20.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 18.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.172 0.17)38.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)35.11% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-0.184 -0.18)71.86% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.41%
    Aston Villa 18.12%
    Draw 20.46%
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa

Olympiacos
40.3%
Draw
13.8%
Aston Villa
45.9%
283
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Aston Villa
2-4
Olympiacos
Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56'), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


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